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Message: [QUOTE="Swill, post: 103197, member: 140"] [url]http://www.ted.com/talks/sean_gourley_on_the_mathematics_of_war.html[/url] Interesting findings in the data, but time has answered his question at the end. The insurgent groups are fragmented to the point that we can move out. For Tracking "alpha" to be an effective strategic decision making tool, it'll have to be contextualized by poly/intel people. But I do like implications. Anything that takes the guess work out of war saves American lives... Thoughts? Any other extrapolations from the data that you can see? [/QUOTE]