Statistics, polling, and getting your geek on...

FiveThirtyEight gave Trump a 30% chance of winning on election night - the highest percentage of any major statistical outfit. They're legit.

But he won 100% of the required electoral votes. Legit?

If a fecal protection system, which boasted of a 30% success rate of stopping thrown matter, was recently installed in front of the monkey cage at the zoo, would you still visit said monkey exhibit?

A 30% chance of successfully choosing the winner between TWO candidates “is legit”? Seems a coin would have better odds.

Disclaimer: I don’t math.

The Coin Flip: A Fundamentally Unfair Proposition?
 
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