What’s happening in Iran?

[Blizzard]

Zero American casualties reported.

So, huge rocket attack, no casualties... when have I seen this before....

Trump Orders Strikes on Syria Over Chemical Weapons

Pomp, circumstance, bravado without result... is Iran playing our game here or...?

I was thinking the same.

The effectiveness of the attack matters to an extent. Were they just doing something to show they responded or were they really trying and only marginally competent? I lean toward the former. They can lob some missiles to show they're standing up to the big guy but let's not make it to effective because they could make us pay.

Interesting times to say the least.

 

[amlove21]

Who knows these days.

Exactly.

We went from, “I’ll wipe you off the face of the earth, here’s 52 targets and 52 F-35’s” to... “I’ll address itin the morning. All is well!”

But I mean- is it though?

 

[Blizzard]

This seems to be a round of "one-up-manship" in the I can play crazy, unpredictable better than you can game.

Hey, maybe they'll send up their Tomcat next, huh?!

 

[DA SWO]

Wondering the same thing. According to latest reports the missiles did not hit where Americans are located at al-Asad...but there is Iraqi casualties.

Although news networks will be putting out any updates they can.

UPDATE: Missiles Miss Americans

"The initial assessment is that the Iranian missiles struck areas of the al-Asad base not populated by Americans, according to a US military official"

"Earlier, an Iraqi security source told CNN that there were casualties among the Iraqis at the base".

Trump can sit and do nothing if there are no US casualties.
He can say they suck and their weapons suck too.

The nice thing with doing nothing, is you can do something at the time/place of your choosing.

 

[ThunderHorse]

Well, for those of us in CONUS on the day shift, we can head to bed soon:

https://twitter.com/x/status/1214739853025394693

 

[Blizzard]

^ This is an opportunity for him to just step back and tap into his inner-Conor MacGregor for a bit. Talk some smack, make them look incompetent/weak, lay down some more sanctions, and call it good. Let Iran decide if they're really up for round 2.

 

[BlackSmokeRisinG]

The idea that Iran would send a dozen ballistic missiles without deadly intent is unbelievable...

What are we collectively going to say when we find out Iraqi army were killed?? Oh...they meant to do that....

There's a lot more Iranian missles and jihad proxies left.

 

[AWP]

Al Asad is something like 5-6km x 5-6 km. We're kidding ourselves if we think Iran doesn't know where our troops live. A base that large, even with a CEP of 2km you have ample opporunity to avoid US casualties.

Doesn't matter if it was planned or just luck, but a lack of casualties gives us an out if want to let this pot cool off.

 

[ThunderHorse]

Ukrainian airplane with 180 aboard crashes in Iran: Fars

Here's the video:

https://twitter.com/x/status/1214756874324606977

 

[Kheenbish]

Well in other completely (probably) unrelated Iran news. A Boeing 737 carrying 180 passengers crashed on take off leaving Iran’s Imam Khomeini airport.

Iran Boeing 737 Crash

 

[AWP]

Oh, something I forgot to add earlier: business as usual for civilian air traffic in theater.

Live Flight Tracker - Real-Time Flight Tracker Map | Flightradar24

 

[Salt USMC]

Iran has demonstrated precision strikes with Fateh-110 and Zelzal missiles in the past. If they hit Iraqi-occupied areas, they were intended to be hit. It looks like Iran is still playing "I'm not touching you" in the backseat of this car.

 

[BlackSmokeRisinG]

What about the 4 missles that did not make it to any target? Was that intended also?

 

[AWP]

What about the 4 missles that did not make it to any target? Was that intended also?

If they were locally manufactured the QA may not be up to more refined standards. Don't forget we have missiles that don't always work as intended.

Ultimately? There's no telling.

 

[racing_kitty]

My experience with Iranian ordnance is that it’s generally not the most accurate munitions you’re going to come across. Most of what they have on hand is not really Iranian designed; it’s reverse engineered from whatever item they managed to get their hands on. It looks similar, but it may not do the job as well as the original munition. They don’t really have R&D for weapons since they figure they can just buy/barter/steal whatever design info they need to know.

That doesn’t mean it’s not dangerous, though. Nor does that mean they don’t have their own ideas. Look at the EFP. I don’t remember if the IRAM was Iranian designed or not. It wasn’t anywhere near as polished as their rockets.

 

[TheSiatonist]

What do you folks make of this report about possible shrapnel damage? Is this a strong indication that the plane was shot down?

Ukrainian passenger plane carrying 177 people crashes near Tehran

Also from the article:

Iranian officials said the pilot had lost control of the Boeing jet after a fire struck one of the plane's engines, but said the crew had not reported an emergency and did not say what caused the fire.

 

[Florida173]

We'll see what happens, but I'm actually believing this to be the case

 

[Florida173]

But.. I'm glad they cleared this up.. But I'm just saying..

The United States Geological Survey (USGS) said the earthquake had a depth of 10 kilometres, indicating that it was a natural event and not linked to Iran’s missile attacks on US airbases.

Iran's nuclear site hit by 4.9 magnitude earthquake

 

[Brill]

But.. I'm glad they cleared this up.. But I'm just saying..



Iran's nuclear site hit by 4.9 magnitude earthquake

Expecting Greta to hold a press conference claiming responsibility.

 

[Brill]

Al Asad is something like 5-6km x 5-6 km. We're kidding ourselves if we think Iran doesn't know where our troops live. A base that large, even with a CEP of 2km you have ample opporunity to avoid US casualties.

Doesn't matter if it was planned or just luck, but a lack of casualties gives us an out if want to let this pot cool off.

The media seems to have professionalized the art of looking idiotic.