R.Caerbannog
Verified Military
- Joined
- Nov 4, 2015
- Messages
- 2,068
So I've been following this geopolitical expert Peter Zeihan. From what I can remember, @Diamondback 2/2 was who first posted a Zeihan blurb a while back. I guess Zeihan worked in DC as an intel analysis generalist, then used his knowledge to shift over from the public sector to the private. For years this guy was talking about demographic pyramids, the flow of trade goods, and how these things affected the economic status of a nation.
For a very long time China has been the world's manufacturing hub. Raw materials are shipped to China, where they are refined, turned into products, and shipped to the world market as finished or unfinished goods. The Chinese govt was able to do this by leveraging it's large population and through a series of state sponsored tactics, of destroying or stealing from any competitors on the world market. So much so, that as the the US transitioned towards a service based economy, most of our industrial tooling was sold and shipped to places like China.
( Old video when Chinese manufacturing was cheap )
Thanks to this economic boon, China was able to become a player on the global stage. Not only did China become wealthy from this, they didn't bear the cost of securing their energy or global trade flows. Those familiar with the war in Iraq should know that China was one of the biggest benefactors of Iraqi oil after the invasion. Essentially we and the allies, who followed us into Iraq, subsidized Chinese manufacturing. While our govt's took on huge debts from China to fund the costs of securing the Middle East.
Everyone thought that system was running smoothly, until China had a leak in one of their Bio Safety Level 4 facilities; Covid. As China locked down and spread the plague, the world was left scrambling to secure medical goods and supplies; that kept their own economies running. Lo and behold, we found out that the Chinese govt was not a good trade partner and that they had some very serious internal problems. Mainly their false population demographics, financial practices, and corruption.
( Demographic problems )
( Financial practices and how China's economy is tied to housing )
As manufacturing centers now shift closer to home, it seems Central America ( and Canada but that's another story ) is poised to become a larger player economically. It seems the America's are about to become much more integrated on an economic scale. Countries like Mexico are expanding an already complex manufacturing foot print. While countries like Colombia will start to develop their own manufacturing footprint, to provide labor and support towards higher manufacturing tier nations; like Mexico.
( Recent talk in Mexico )
As Chinas grows more unstable economically, not counting manufacturing shifts towards SE Asia, what effects do you think this will have?
China's Belt and Road initiative was an attempt at bringing their version of economic control against capital poor, but resource rich, nations. What will this spell for Africa? Can China maintain their holdings?
For Central America, what will this economic restructuring do? Will they rise to power, as a valuable trade partners, like China was or will they join us and Westernize to a higher degree?
For a very long time China has been the world's manufacturing hub. Raw materials are shipped to China, where they are refined, turned into products, and shipped to the world market as finished or unfinished goods. The Chinese govt was able to do this by leveraging it's large population and through a series of state sponsored tactics, of destroying or stealing from any competitors on the world market. So much so, that as the the US transitioned towards a service based economy, most of our industrial tooling was sold and shipped to places like China.
( Old video when Chinese manufacturing was cheap )
Thanks to this economic boon, China was able to become a player on the global stage. Not only did China become wealthy from this, they didn't bear the cost of securing their energy or global trade flows. Those familiar with the war in Iraq should know that China was one of the biggest benefactors of Iraqi oil after the invasion. Essentially we and the allies, who followed us into Iraq, subsidized Chinese manufacturing. While our govt's took on huge debts from China to fund the costs of securing the Middle East.
Everyone thought that system was running smoothly, until China had a leak in one of their Bio Safety Level 4 facilities; Covid. As China locked down and spread the plague, the world was left scrambling to secure medical goods and supplies; that kept their own economies running. Lo and behold, we found out that the Chinese govt was not a good trade partner and that they had some very serious internal problems. Mainly their false population demographics, financial practices, and corruption.
( Demographic problems )
( Financial practices and how China's economy is tied to housing )
As manufacturing centers now shift closer to home, it seems Central America ( and Canada but that's another story ) is poised to become a larger player economically. It seems the America's are about to become much more integrated on an economic scale. Countries like Mexico are expanding an already complex manufacturing foot print. While countries like Colombia will start to develop their own manufacturing footprint, to provide labor and support towards higher manufacturing tier nations; like Mexico.
( Recent talk in Mexico )
As Chinas grows more unstable economically, not counting manufacturing shifts towards SE Asia, what effects do you think this will have?
China's Belt and Road initiative was an attempt at bringing their version of economic control against capital poor, but resource rich, nations. What will this spell for Africa? Can China maintain their holdings?
For Central America, what will this economic restructuring do? Will they rise to power, as a valuable trade partners, like China was or will they join us and Westernize to a higher degree?
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