Remember during 2016-2024 when you said a true thing and then the fact checkers (where did they all go??) would tell you that it was true, but it "needed context", and then proceed with a 2k word article following the "it's not happening/it is happening but not as bad as you say/it's happening, it's as bad as you say, but you're causing harm by pointing it out/we admit it's happening now but we think that's actually a good thing" framework. Man, what a wild time. Anywhoo...
Your contention doesn't appear to be that what I said isn't true (it is)- just that one time, for 9 days, 493 days ago, the same thing happened? Did the President have to deploy the National Guard that time, too? Or was it just sort of, you know, a thing that happened (it was just a thing that happened with no remarkable change in policing, policy, or action taken). What was the action taken that resulted in the 9 day drop in murders?
The context that's relevant and helpful is- "For 493 days, until Trump took action, DC averaged 1 homicide every 2.1 days and ranked 4th or 5th in murder per 100k people. Then the President took action, and those actions had immediate results as supported by the facts of the matter, and the only people saying otherwise are doing so due to their apparent, immovable, personal bias towards the admin and their unwillingness to allow a single good thing to happen in America without pointing out that Trump Bad."
FTR, during Bowser's term (2014-on) DC has averaged 26.2 murders per 100k, including a 30 year high in 2023. I mean, in CoNtExT that's not nearly as bad as the crack epidemic when DC was the murder capital of the world clocking 86/100k right? So Bowser is doing great if we apply the correct historical context.
Oh yeah, I'm not trying to argue against anything broader. It's just a general quibble I've got with statements like that.
If "a long time" is 20 years you can probably draw a better correlation with the Guard deployment.
With it being a tad over a year ago someone can argue (I'm not) that it's a fluke. That said, the longer it goes without homicide the stronger the deployment correlation becomes again.

