Covid-19

I went to a recruiter on Wednesday and they got shut down mid conversation due to COVID-19. All of our schools in my area (TN) are shut down til April, but they are talks of shutting down for the rest of the year. Hope y'all are staying healthy, and hopefully some type of antiviral therapy comes out soon.
 
File this in “shit I’d never thought I’d type...”
Coronavirus Makes Taliban Realize They Need Heath Workers Alive Not Dead
I shit you not, this is the actual headline on Reuters.
This is rich:

“The Islamic Emirate via its Health Commission assures all international health organizations and WHO of its readiness to cooperate and coordinate with them in combating the coronavirus,” said Suhail Shaheen, the Taliban’s spokesman, on Twitter, using the term the group uses to describe itself.

Yeah, until they aren't.
 
Study: 17.9% Of People With COVID-19 Coronavirus Had No Symptoms

Interesting that 15 - 20% may be asymptomatic. It has been suspected kids may generally be asymptomatic but this implies a portion of adults are as well. To me this speaks to two important facts:

1. Controlling spread may be very difficult, especially if you feel OK.

2. Lends additional credence to the number of under reporting of cases

3. It can be presumed that serious cases would've resulted in hospitalizations. With that in mind, this may actually be good news from the perspective that it reinforces the belief that 90+% cases are mild; so mild that you may not know you even have the virus (which is a double edge sword, as noted in #1 above).

Wonder if there is a strong correlation with blood type
 
What causing me some angst is the lack of communication about and end game. All we are getting are random dates:

- School's out til Apr 1
- CA on state lockdown until Apr 13
- Etc Etc Etc

Has anything been communicated in regards to what signifies the "all clear"? I'm having a really hard time with the while duck-and-cover schtick and not having anything on the horizon to say when we get to X, then we can get back to work.

United States Coronavirus: 14,339 Cases and 217 Deaths - Worldometer

Data we are tracking: number of cases/day (positive tests), number of admits/day. We'll know when we peak, and when we'll fall. There is likely to be "False peaks" where it looks like it's dropping and goes back up a bit. Once it starts to fall, add 3 weeks. No one in their right mind is going to place a date, not at least (my SWAG) the beginning of April.
 
Study: 17.9% Of People With COVID-19 Coronavirus Had No Symptoms

Interesting that 15 - 20% may be asymptomatic. It has been suspected kids may generally be asymptomatic but this implies a portion of adults are as well. To me this speaks to two important facts:

1. Controlling spread may be very difficult, especially if you feel OK.

2. Lends additional credence to the number of under reporting of cases

3. It can be presumed that serious cases would've resulted in hospitalizations. With that in mind, this may actually be good news from the perspective that it reinforces the belief that 90+% cases are mild; so mild that you may not know you even have the virus (which is a double edge sword, as noted in #1 above).

Also, there is a GI component. People can transmit it via GI, and have only GI symptoms. Because this is in the minority, they are a low-priority for screening.

Also there is a growing proportion of younger adults not only becoming symptomatic, but very sick. That doesn't bear out in a lot of data from overseas.
 
Next week our school district is handing out Chromebooks to the 'in need' kids and they are going e-learning beginning in April
So, this may be a separate topic or it may be here...

I don't know the specifics of the decision above and it's somewhat irrelevant, however, it has me thinking more broadly: we need to pump the breaks a bit on all the handouts/relief/whatever you want to term it. These aren't free and there are economic repercussions to all these decisions. There needs to be some actual thought and planning here, particularly long term.

We're really only about a month deep into this from a "crisis" perspective in the U.S. The immediate situation with the virus will pass but then we'll be left holding the bill for many things that are the result of many early, knee jerk reactions. Ex. issuing $1K - $3K checks from the government. What problem does that really solve? If anything, it delays the inevitable for some.
 
Also, there is a GI component. People can transmit it via GI, and have only GI symptoms. Because this is in the minority, they are a low-priority for screening.

Also there is a growing proportion of younger adults not only becoming symptomatic, but very sick. That doesn't bear out in a lot of data from overseas.
It doesn't bear out in the reporting of U.S. data either. Current active cases total ~16K, nearly 100% are mild condition, only 64 currently in serious condition.

Interesting about GI angle as I haven't seen that reported on CDC site or elsewhere.
 
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Prepping for COVID?

"People do a lot of weird stuff on deployment. After about four months in Syria, the novel I was writing sort of ended up in a corner that I couldn’t see a way out of. So I said to hell with it and decided to start another project as a palate cleanser. The idea I settled on was: What would it be like to experience the zombie apocalypse from the perspective of someone who was genuinely, properly prepared?"
 
It doesn't bear out in the reporting of U.S. data either. Current active cases total ~16K, nearly 100% are mild condition, only 64 currently in serious condition.

Interesting about GI angle as I haven't seen that reported on CDC site or elsewhere.

Potential GI manifestation, transmission of coronavirus

40% of hospitalizations are people between 20-54 (even though is still remains the > 60 crowd with highest likelihood of dying). Additionally, post and follow-up CT scans are showing significant lung damage in young people.

Severe Outcomes Among Patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19
 
Potential GI manifestation, transmission of coronavirus

40% of hospitalizations are people between 20-54 (even though is still remains the > 60 crowd with highest likelihood of dying). Additionally, post and follow-up CT scans are showing significant lung damage in young people.

Severe Outcomes Among Patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19
The potential second and third order effects on survivors won’t be truly known until ten, twenty, thirty years from now.

Prayers to @Devildoc, @Muppet, and all medical professionals at the forefront of treatment and response.

JBLM and Madigan Facebook pages are the main sources for info up here. LTG George, I Corps CG responded with swift guidance.
 
The potential second and third order effects on survivors won’t be truly known until ten, twenty, thirty years from now.

Prayers to @Devildoc, @Muppet, and all medical professionals at the forefront of treatment and response.

JBLM and Madigan Facebook pages are the main sources for info up here. LTG George, I Corps CG responded with swift guidance.

Thanks brother. It's disconcerting and scary....
 
Potential GI manifestation, transmission of coronavirus

40% of hospitalizations are people between 20-54 (even though is still remains the > 60 crowd with highest likelihood of dying). Additionally, post and follow-up CT scans are showing significant lung damage in young people.

Severe Outcomes Among Patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19
Would be very interesting to see a listing of comorbidities or some other analysis of those patients in U.S. where their condition was serious or resulted death.
 
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