I've seen a lot of people on the news advocating for some extinction-level event in Gaza to get after Hamas. I understand how satisfying that might feel, on a surface level. But friends, let me break it down for you:
That's.
What.
They.
Want.
Mass deaths of Palestinians is exactly what Hamas wants. They NEED it. Hamas is more or less a death cult at this point, with the solitary aim of martyrdom in the name of destroying Israel. "From the river to the sea" is the chant you'll often hear at rallies supporting Hamas, Hezbollah, and other terror groups. "The river" is the Jordan River. "The sea" is the Mediterranean. The entire state of Israel is in between. So Hamas' entire reason for existence is to destroy Israel, and they are willing to martyr themselves and thousands of their own people if it will eventually provide that result.
Martyrdom is an extremely powerful thing; in our own country, look at the deaths of Lincoln, JFK, MLK, even George Floyd. The entire religion of Christianity is based on martyrdom. And so is Hamas' death cult.
All of the terrorists who flew, boated, walked, and/or motored their way into Israel a few days ago knowing that death was a possible, and even perhaps likely, result. Some of the squads, especially the death squads whose goal was to seize and hold territory for as long as possible, knew it was a one-way trip.
So why did they do it?
Ideology. They all know that they will not live to see the world they want created. There are in it to win it, generation upon generation.
Across their history, the Jews have been displaced, enslaved, and conquered many times. They were scattered across the world. And now they have what is arguably the most powerful state in the Middle East. Why? Because they had an enduring ideology, and people willing to fight to the death for it.
It's very hard to kill an idea. The best way to destroy it is to convince people of a better idea. Killing people and destroying property is often a necessary part of the convincing process (WWII) but it is insufficient. And we should make sure we don't abrogate our own values and the sense of who and what we are in the process.
During the GWOT, and particularly during my tours in Iraq, I saw what happened when we started to drift away from our values: it costs us credibility, moral authority, and freedom of action, and it empowers and emboldens our enemies. Abu Ghraib and the incident that inspired the book Blackhearts are two examples. Those were propaganda coups for the enemy, and they had the added benefit (to them) of being things we actually did. We shouldn't allow that kind of thing to happen here.
People will read what I just wrote and thing that I'm making amoral argument here; I'm not. I'm talking from a purely practical standpoint here. There are 14 million Palestinians in the world. Only around 2 million of them live in Gaza. Even if all of them were killed or displaced in a "2nd nakhba" for example, there are still 12 million Palestinians, and hundreds of millions of Muslims, who are going to be SUPER pissed about it. Handled the wrong way, for example if there were a wholesale slaughter of Palestinians in Gaza, regardless of who is really to blame for it, there could be tens of thousands of additional radicalized Palestinians, and many times that in the wider Arab and Muslim worlds, who want to get their jihad on against "the Zionist entity" and anyone who supports it.
I mentioned earlier that a lot of people are going to die in the coming weeks, and that some of them won't deserve it. There are plenty of people who I think need to end up getting killed over this. I just don't want to see us go down a road that leads to more problems, especially if we can do it by dialing down the rhetoric a bit and fighting this war the way it needs to be fought: clear-eyed, and with the long game in mind.
Because the long game is 100% how our enemies are thinking.